``... there is a decent (probably 60%) chance of a shutdown at some point over [Fiscal Year 2017] funding given that Trump will likely get next-to-nothing of what he proposed. / Cillizza: How much did the calculus change when Trump made clear he wants $1.4 billion in funding for the border wall included? / Collender: The question is whether this is typical Trump bluster or a non-negotiable demand. If it's bluster, then the calculus hasn't changed a bit. If it's a non-negotiable demand, the chances of a shutdown increase precipitously. [Senate Majority Leader Mitch] McConnell needs Democrats to pass a funding bill and they won't vote for the wall. Period.''

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