The U.S. dollar index has bounced from its 15-month low on May 3, thanks to Fed officials talking up rate hikes and thereby propping up the U.S. dollar, referred to as a "Fed Dollar Put". The Fed may have already painted itself into a corner, even as job growth is decelerating, core inflation is trending downward, and the U.S. economy may be one step closer to a recession, as seen by the yield spread between the 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury Notes.


Many economists may not be aware that the S&P 500 Utilities sector is now trading near its all-time high, as money has rotated into safe-havens. The last time Utilities outperformed the broader market, the U.S. economy entered into a recession 12 months later.

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