Implode-Explode Heavy Industries news feed http://implode-explode.com/ Tracking the many faces of the global credit implosion. en-us iehi-feed-65901 Sun, 19 Nov 2023 23:35:13 GMT The Super Rich No Longer Try To Support Their Societies http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2023-11-20_TheSuperRichNoLongerTryToSupportTheirSocieties.html iehi-feed-65681 Mon, 31 Oct 2022 14:31:20 GMT We're Heading for a Stagflationary Crisis Unlike Anything - Nouriel Roubini http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2022-10-31_WereHeadingforaStagflationaryCrisisUnlikeAnythingNourielRoubini.html Inflation is back, and it is rising sharply, especially over the past year, owing to a mix of both demand and supply factors. This rise in inflation may not be a short-term phenomenon: the Great Moderation of the past three decades may be over, and we may be entering a new era of Great Stagflationary Instability.

... [The] balkanization of the global economy is deeply stagflationary, and it is coinciding with demographic aging, not just in developed countries but also in large emerging economies such as China. Because young people tend to produce and save, whereas older people spend down their savings, this trend also is stagflationary.

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iehi-feed-65556 Tue, 19 Jan 2021 22:26:42 GMT Donald Trump vs Barack Obama: Stock Market, GDP, and Jobs Created http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2021-01-19_DonaldTrumpvsBarackObamaStockMarketGDPandJobsCreated.html iehi-feed-65533 Mon, 07 Dec 2020 17:12:50 GMT German property company collapses with pensions http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-12-07_Germanpropertycompanycollapseswithpensions.html Dolphin said it would use the money to buy derelict listed buildings across Germany, to turn them into flats and then sell them to German buyers. Whilst it did use some investor money to buy some buildings, it did not develop enough of them to pay back the loans.

BBC Radio 4's You & Yours has found evidence suggesting loans were paid to director Charles Smethurst and his family. We have seen documents suggesting investor money was used to pay for fashion shows, television stations, beauty products, parties and rent.

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iehi-feed-65489 Wed, 07 Oct 2020 23:01:04 GMT 'Massively concerning' jobs report sends a signal that the economic recovery could be fading http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-10-07_Massivelyconcerningjobsreportsendsasignalthattheeconomicrecovery.html ... the total [of 661,000] was a fairly wide miss from Wall Street's expectation of 800,000. The unemployment rate fell more than expected to 7.9%, but that was mostly due to a sharp decline in labor force participation.

Taken together, the report is a potential early flare from the business community that a rebound during which 11 million jobs were refilled in four months could be petering out.

"This report is an illusion of progress at a time when we needed accelerating gains in the labor market. The number of jobs added this month is just not enough," said Nick Bunker, economic research director at job placement site Indeed. "This report is massively concerning. We are not where we need to be, nor are we moving fast enough in the right direction as we head into fall."

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Companies increasingly are indicating that they may not survive without persistent growth and additional aid. About one-third of small- and mid-size businesses indicated to PNC that they would close in a year or less absent a change in conditions, said Gus Faucher, the bank's chief economist.

"The low-hanging fruit has been picked, and the job market recovery will slow further going forward," Faucher added in a note. "A surge in coronavirus cases in late 2020 could lead to further business closures. An inability to pass additional fiscal stimulus -- including aid to households, small and mid-size businesses, and state and local governments -- is another downside risk."

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iehi-feed-65464 Wed, 19 Aug 2020 14:47:59 GMT A Realistic View of the Economy Ahead - Part 2 | Mandelman Matters http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-08-19_ARealisticViewoftheEconomyAheadPart2MandelmanMatters.html iehi-feed-65461 Fri, 14 Aug 2020 13:57:48 GMT Yes, Unemployment Fell. But The "Recovery" Seems To Be Slowing Down. http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-08-14_YesUnemploymentFellButTheRecoverySeemsToBeSlowingDown.html iehi-feed-65457 Fri, 07 Aug 2020 23:38:38 GMT Coronavirus has already dealt a blow to Social Security's finances. A payroll tax cut would make it worse http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-08-07_CoronavirushasalreadydealtablowtoSocialSecuritysfinancesApayroll.html If this economic downturn is as bad as the Great Recession a decade ago, then the Social Security trust funds could run out of money in 2029, according to the Bipartisan Policy Center. After that, beneficiaries could see a 31% cut in retirement payments.

The program's trustees had projected earlier this year that the trust funds would be depleted in 2035, but that did not take the coronavirus pandemic into account.

It would be the first time the estimated insolvency date was within a decade since the crisis of the 1980s, which prompted several changes, including raising the retirement age, said Shai Akabas, the center's director of economy policy.

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The [depletion] projection depends heavily on when the economy is estimated to recover. If the economy bounces back quickly, under a V-shaped recovery, the depletion date would be 2034, according to the Penn Wharton Budget Model. But a slower U-shaped recovery would accelerate that by two years to 2032.

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The situation is even more dire for the Medicare trust fund, which its trustees projected earlier this year would run out of money by 2026, not taking into account the pandemic.

If employment and payroll tax revenues follow the same pattern as the Great Recession and its aftermath, the hit to the Medicare trust fund could be $175 billion between 2020 and 2023, according to an estimate by experts at the American Enterprise Institute, a right-leaning think tank. That would accelerate the depletion date by three years.

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iehi-feed-65455 Fri, 07 Aug 2020 21:24:44 GMT Coronavirus stimulus updates: Relief bill stalls, Trump mulls executive order http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-08-07_CoronavirusstimulusupdatesReliefbillstallsTrumpmullsexecutiveord.html It would take a massive effort for Democrats and the White House to even reach the outline of a deal soon. But the clock is ticking: the expiration of both the $600 per week enhanced federal unemployment benefit and the eviction moratorium late last month have left millions of Americans scrambling to cover bills and remain in their homes.

The U.S. added 1.76 million jobs in July despite a resurgence in coronavirus cases that forced many states to pause or reverse their economic reopening plans. The unemployment rate fell to 10.2%, but was still higher than at any point during the 2008 financial crisis.

In a joint statement after the jobs report release Friday, Pelosi and Schumer said the data shows "that the economic recovery spurred by the investments Congress has passed is losing steam and more investments are still urgently needed to protect the lives and livelihoods of the American people."

Democrats have insisted on extending the jobless benefit long term at $600 per week. The White House has made several counteroffers, reportedly proposing extra payments of $400 per week into December.

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iehi-feed-65442 Sun, 26 Jul 2020 15:35:55 GMT Millennials are Caught in the Two Recession Trap: the Great Recession and now the Great Pandemic. http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-07-26_MillennialsareCaughtintheTwoRecessionTraptheGreatRecessionandnow.html iehi-feed-65390 Mon, 15 Jun 2020 01:42:07 GMT Trump DOL Throws Pension Investors To The Private Equity "Hollowing Out America" Wolves http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-06-14_TrumpDOLThrowsPensionInvestorsToThePrivateEquityHollowingOutAmer.html Trump's U. S. Department of Labor just opened the door for private equity wolves to sell the highest cost, highest risk, most secretive investments ever devised by Wall Street to 401k plan sponsors. 401k investors will be devoured like lambs to the slaughter.

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The Chairman of the world's premier securities regulator evidently is unaware a decade-plus of private equity investing by so-called "well-managed" pensions has resulted in increasingly disappointing, not to mention inflated and unauditable performance results. Warren Buffett, arguably the world's most respected investor, recently escalated his criticism of private equity firms.

At last year's Berkshire Hathaway BRK.B annual meeting Buffett stated, "We have seen a number of proposals from private equity firms where the returns are not calculated in a manner that I would regard as honest... If I were running a pension fund, I would be very careful about what was being offered to me."

Chairman Clayton and DOL may think they know more about the risks and rewards of private equity investing than Buffett. They don't.

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iehi-feed-65378 Sun, 07 Jun 2020 23:26:55 GMT The only way to truly solve the race problem in America is to narrow the wealth gap, black economists say http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-06-07_TheonlywaytotrulysolvetheraceprobleminAmericaistonarrowthewealth.html By one estimate, the typical white family has wealth of $171,000. This is nearly ten times greater than the $17,150 for an average black family. Put another way, the typical black household remains poorer than 80% of white households.

This stunning wealth gap between the races has persisted, in good times and bad, for the past 70 years. It did not get better after the civil rights era legislation was passed in the 1960s or during the Obama administration.

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"As long as we have racial wealth gap, we're going to have a problems with race," said Patrick Mason, an economics professor at Florida State University.

"The wealth gap is one of the reasons there are protests today," said Linwood Tauheed, a professor of economics at The University of Missouri-Kansas City and the president of the National Economics Association.

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"African Americans are dissatisfied with the way things are -- that's not new for us-- but now you find young college students dissatisfied with their future."

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iehi-feed-65197 Sun, 23 Feb 2020 22:16:08 GMT Why EVERY Attorney Needs to Know What HECM Means  | Mandelman Matters http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2020-02-23_WhyEVERYAttorneyNeedstoKnowWhatHECMMeansMandelmanMatters.html What if you had an Uncle Hecm.  And he told you that he'd be willing to loan you say $200,000, at a relatively low interest rate, like 5%... and you wouldn't have to make any payments until you either died or sold your home.  What could you use that money for?  Anything, right?

You could use that money to start a business.  You could use it to consolidate debt or payoff student loans.  You could use it to buy a second home or maybe a motorhome.  You could use it to pay capital gains taxes... or settle a lawsuit. You could use it for absolutely anything.

Who wouldn't want an Uncle Hecm?  The answer is no one.

See also HELOCs Are Bad for Older Homeowners. Better Options Exist.

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iehi-feed-65104 Thu, 12 Dec 2019 15:21:53 GMT Johnson and Corbyn Are Both Horrible Choices http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2019-12-12_JohnsonandCorbynAreBothHorribleChoices.html The two candidates are so alarming that, in an unprecedented intervention, former prime ministers from each of their parties have pleaded with voters to block them. Tony Blair and John Major have urged tactical votes against Mr. Corbyn and Mr. Johnson. Everywhere, exhausted, disillusioned, skeptical voters debate who is worse. British politics has never known anything like it.

These very different men share remarkable, unflattering similarities. Each is ill briefed, hazy on the facts and implications of his policy proposals, uneasy under scrutiny and belligerent when challenged.

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Mr. Corbyn may believe, delusional though it is, that he really can restructure British capitalism overnight without damaging the economy. His stubborn moral certainty means he's deceiving himself along with everybody else. Most politicians, of course, have ambitions beyond their competence and dreams they can't deliver.

Mr. Johnson is playing another game entirely. Amoral and power-hungry, he's lying with knowledge, calculation and abandon. He and his advisers have made a ruthless and sinister decision -- to subvert and smash up British political culture. They have learned from the successes of the Vote Leave campaign, which Mr. Johnson fronted, and, it seems, from Team Trump.

The old assumptions -- that truth matters, that lies shame the liar, that in a democracy the press and the public must have a right to interrogate those who seek the top jobs -- have all been swept aside by the Tories' conviction that in an inattentive, dissatisfied, cacophonous world, victory will go to the most compelling entertainer, the most plausible and shameless deceiver, the leader who can drill home a repetitive and seductive incantation. Facts and details will be irrelevant so long as voters feel a politician is on their side.

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iehi-feed-65084 Thu, 21 Nov 2019 23:50:58 GMT The World May Have a Bigger Problem Than a Potential Recession http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2019-11-21_TheWorldMayHaveaBiggerProblemThanaPotentialRecession.html For OECD Chief Economist Laurence Boone, the worry is that the world could continue to suffer in the decades to come if authorities offer short-term fiscal and monetary fixes as the only response.

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The pessimism about the deep seated problems in the global economy contrasts with more upbeat signals coming from financial markets, where investors are increasingly betting on an upswing next year depending on the latest twists in trade talks.

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iehi-feed-65073 Tue, 12 Nov 2019 20:54:12 GMT Trump, In Foamy-Mouthed Rant, Calls For Negative Interest Rates To "Boost Stock Market Another 25%" http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2019-11-12_TrumpInFoamyMouthedRantCallsForNegativeInterestRatesToBoostStock.html iehi-feed-65014 Fri, 18 Oct 2019 21:03:43 GMT American Youth Impoverished and Disenfranchised: Solutions http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2019-10-18_AmericanYouthImpoverishedandDisenfranchisedSolutions.html The geographically based idiosyncrasies of American democracy that the founders put in place compound the problem. On average, ballots cast by older people hold more weight and are less frequently "wasted" than those of the young. (Wasted votes are those garnered in excess of what a candidate needs to win; in our winner-take-all systems that means anything over 50 percent.) Clustered in sparsely populated states and counties, voters who are older, whiter and wealthier get a boost: Older Americans wield disproportionate sway over the Electoral College, the Senate and a gerrymandered Congress.

Migration patterns worsen these trends. A growing percentage of young people now dream of city life, but their preferences inadvertently reduce their political clout: "18 percent of rural residents are 65 or older versus 15 percent in suburban and small metro counties and 13 percent in cities," the Pew Research Center reported last year. Millennials, concentrated in metropolitan areas, are the predominant generation of potential voters in only 86 congressional districts, while boomer voters predominate in 341. By 2040, 70 percent of Americans are expected to live in the 15 most populous states; that would mean that 70 percent of America will be represented by only 30 senators.

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The other critical divide is the economy. The boomers who came of age in the 1950s and '60s benefited from boom times while millennials and Generation Z have been dogged by the aftermath of the mortgage meltdown, an underwhelming recovery and Gilded Age levels of inequality. One generation enjoyed a comparatively high minimum wage, affordable college tuition and reasonable costs of living; for everyone after, stagnating wages, ballooning student debt and unaffordable housing have become the norm.

"Millennials are less well off than members of earlier generations when they were young," a 2018 report by economists from the Federal Reserve Board bluntly states. Other economists have shown that a household headed by someone born in 1970 has a quarter less income and 40 percent less wealth than one headed by a comparable person born in 1940. In contrast, between 1989 and 2013, only the cohort of families headed by people at least 62 saw an increase in median wealth. Older people are more likely to own property, stocks and other assets -- and, consequently, to prefer policies that will keep the values of those assets high. No wonder so many young people have pivoted left, rejecting conventional wisdom about the virtues of unfettered capitalism.

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iehi-feed-64898 Tue, 27 Aug 2019 02:10:58 GMT The Next Recession Will Destroy Millennials http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2019-08-26_TheNextRecessionWillDestroyMillennials.html Cost pressures have also made it difficult or impossible for Millennials to save or invest. The share of Americans under the age of 35 who own stocks has meandered down from 55 percent in 2001 to 37 percent in 2018, in part because employers are less likely to offer retirement-savings plans and in part because Millennials have nothing left over at the end of the month to put away. Virtually all members of the cohort are "not saving adequately," experts warn, and two-thirds of Millennials have zero retirement savings. This means that Millennials have benefited not a bit from the decade-long boom in stock prices, as their parents and grandparents have.

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The next recession--this year, next year, whenever it comes--will likely make that Millennial disadvantage even worse. Already, Millennials have put off saving and buying homes, as well as getting married and having babies, because of their crummy jobs and weighty student loans. A downturn that leads to higher unemployment and lower wages will force Millennials to wait even longer to start accumulating wealth, making it far harder for them to accumulate any wealth at all. (Compound interest is magic, after all.) Their trajectory, already terrible, might get even worse.

And Millennial suffering won't just hurt Millennials. There is accumulating evidence that the economy is more sclerotic and slower-growing than it might be if the Millennials were able to buy homes, have families, start businesses, and spend like other generations--if the young were not existing just to pump up asset values for the old. Which reminds me--there's one generation that might fare even worse than Millennials: Generation Z.

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iehi-feed-64854 Wed, 31 Jul 2019 22:49:08 GMT Federal Reserve interest rate cuts: Markets fall on disappointment for future cutes http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2019-07-31_FederalReserveinterestratecutsMarketsfallondisappointmentforfutu.html iehi-feed-64769 Thu, 13 Jun 2019 16:11:29 GMT Japan Un-Publishes Government Report That Admitted Demographic and Pension Disaster http://implode-explode.com/viewnews/2019-06-13_JapanUnPublishesGovernmentReportThatAdmittedDemographicandPensio.html This year's ‘Annual Report on Ageing Society' plainly stated this reality; it was a brutally honest assessment of Japan's underfunded pension program.

The report went on to tell people that they needed to save their own money for retirement because the pension fund wouldn't be able to make ends meet.

This terrified a lot of Japanese workers and pensioners.

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Prime Minister Shinzo Abe apologized for the report, calling it "inaccurate and misleading."

And Finance Minister Taro Aso-- himself a pensioner at age 78 (though in typical Japanese form he looks like he's 45)-- simply un-published the report.

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