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bdc63
Schumpeter Reincarnate


Joined: 16 Feb 2007
Posts: 4392
Location: Maryland

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2009 12:09 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

WFExec123 wrote:
bdc63 wrote:
The VIX closed below 30 today.

Complacency abounds.


Will the rise in the VIX have to correspond with another major sell off? I heard on CNBC that a lower VIX is a bearish indicator, I don't understand.


I believe that this is the way the theory goes: Too low a VIX means that there is too much complacency. Everyone feels safe, and believes the market is headed higher. So one piece of bad data -- or one unexpected bk filing from a commercial real estate firm -- and everyone runs to the exits at the same time.
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bdc63
Schumpeter Reincarnate


Joined: 16 Feb 2007
Posts: 4392
Location: Maryland

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Fri Jun 12, 2009 1:02 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

VIX closed the day at 28.11 yesterday.

But, I have a sneaky suspicion that "boring" is about to come to an abrupt end ...
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bdc63
Schumpeter Reincarnate


Joined: 16 Feb 2007
Posts: 4392
Location: Maryland

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 2:27 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

Looks like it may be time to revive this thread ...

Up 9% to 35.75, and still moving

_________________
"Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and h*ll where they already have it." -- Ronald Reagan
"Everybody, sooner or later, sits down to a banquet of consequences." -- Robert Louis Stevenson
“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” -J.P. Morgan, testifying to Congress in 1912
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bdc63
Schumpeter Reincarnate


Joined: 16 Feb 2007
Posts: 4392
Location: Maryland

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 2:53 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

bdc63 wrote:
Looks like it may be time to revive this thread ...

Up 9% to 35.75, and still moving


It's over 40 now ... yikes.

_________________
"Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and h*ll where they already have it." -- Ronald Reagan
"Everybody, sooner or later, sits down to a banquet of consequences." -- Robert Louis Stevenson
“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” -J.P. Morgan, testifying to Congress in 1912
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dreamer
Demolition Man


Joined: 09 Aug 2007
Posts: 2101
Location: Northern California

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Fri May 07, 2010 3:42 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

HOLY TOLEDO BATMAN!

da pricks raising da Vix is gonna prix da bubble into rubble

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bdc63
Schumpeter Reincarnate


Joined: 16 Feb 2007
Posts: 4392
Location: Maryland

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 9:28 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

on VIX watch again ... up 17% to 34 today

_________________
"Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and h*ll where they already have it." -- Ronald Reagan
"Everybody, sooner or later, sits down to a banquet of consequences." -- Robert Louis Stevenson
“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” -J.P. Morgan, testifying to Congress in 1912
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achtung
Nitroglycerin


Joined: 03 Jun 2010
Posts: 716
Location: Germany

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Tue Jun 29, 2010 11:20 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

Good week to be long VIX and short SPY.

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dreamer
Demolition Man


Joined: 09 Aug 2007
Posts: 2101
Location: Northern California

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Wed Jun 30, 2010 3:34 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

maybe once this current head and shoulders fornmation in the stocks breaks down we'll see the vix exceed the 1987 high of about 150...

no matter...stocks are going into a new down leg of the bear market and it will be terrible...IMHO.

_________________
There isn't anything so bad that the Government can't make worse...

The 4-functions of government today are the same as a criminal enterprise: Lie, Cheat, Steal, and Kill...
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bdc63
Schumpeter Reincarnate


Joined: 16 Feb 2007
Posts: 4392
Location: Maryland

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2011 1:53 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

25.20 this morning. seems low given everything that's going on, but it is up 50% over the past week.

wonder where we will end the day ...

_________________
"Socialism only works in two places: Heaven where they don't need it and h*ll where they already have it." -- Ronald Reagan
"Everybody, sooner or later, sits down to a banquet of consequences." -- Robert Louis Stevenson
“Gold is money. Everything else is credit.” -J.P. Morgan, testifying to Congress in 1912
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dreamer
Demolition Man


Joined: 09 Aug 2007
Posts: 2101
Location: Northern California

Re: VIX
PostPosted: Fri Jul 29, 2011 3:04 pm Reply with quoteBack to top

I dunno. I've been buying the snotola out of my favorite PM stocks. Yesterday and today 90% all in. I really don't know what to do except vote against politicians and their paper.

_________________
There isn't anything so bad that the Government can't make worse...

The 4-functions of government today are the same as a criminal enterprise: Lie, Cheat, Steal, and Kill...
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